The Rule of 4
October 1st, 2006Move over “Rule of 72”, here comes the “Rule of 4”
John Eckblad
This article speaks specifically to 3 Life Business™ tenets
(see below in our Blog - What successful businesses teach us about…. money-management - for a review of the 21 life-rich Life Business™ money-management tenets.)
1. focus on improving your life’s “net worth”, NOT your money’s.
2. commit to bringing life satisfaction forward in time, DON’T save for a rainy day.
3. optimize cash flow, NOT wealth creation.
The Rule of 72
Most of us have not only heard of the Rule of 72, we’ve used it at one time or another in reviewing our financial plans. The Rule of 72 lets us determine either how many years it will take to double an amount of money at a specific rate of return or the complement – what rate of return it will take to double an amount of money in a given number of years. To get answers we divide either an interest rate or a number of years into 72.
Example
I want to know how many years it will take me to double, say, $50000 at a 3% rate of annual return. I divide 3 into 72 and I find that it will take me 24 years.
Or, I know I want $100000. (double $50000.) in 6 years time and I want to know what rate of return I’ll need to achieve this goal. Here I divide 72 by 6 and find that I’ll require a 12% annual rate of return.
This, of course, is all quite useful. If I’ve worked through my Life Business™ Gameboard I know how much money I have today and I think I know how much I’ll need Long-term, say, in 8 years. If the amount I need is double the amount I have, using the “Rule of 12″ I know my current stash will need to grow by 9% (72 divided by 8 years) a year to achieve my goal.
Unfortunately, the “Rule of 72″ is often associated with exercises in pishful winking, as in, “Wouldn’t it be great to have double what I have today – wonder how quickly I can do that?” In the end, If we don’t know what we want to achieve in 8, or any other number of years, we really can’t ever answer the question – “How much is much enough?” and in trying to find an answer to this question the “Rule of 72″ isn’t any help.
The Rule of 4
Let’s explore the possibility that not only do many of us not need to double our financial assets going forward but, quite possibly, we are not leveraging the assets we already have to help us achieve the maximum amount of satisfaction available to us today.
Take, for example, the easy case of the over 60 year old. Numerous financial commentators have made the point that our guy has at least an 85% chance of not using up his (or her) financial resources in his lifetime if he spends down up to 4% of those resources annually for the rest of his born days. This, my friends, is the Rule of 4.
This is comforting news for those of us who depend on our nest eggs for helping to support us in retirement. It is particularly comforting if our Gameboard (see Blog articles below describing the Life Business™ Gameboard) indicates that an annual distribution of 4% of our current financial assets will indeed “float our boat”, i.e. enable us to achieve our life plans.
The Plot Deepens
Yet the real Life Business™ challenge comes when our life plans do not currently require a 4% annual distribution of our financial assets to fund them. In this situation we can accurately be said to have more money than we have life. For example, some folks can live their lives without ever calling on their retirement funds. Often people in this situation just let their funds grow and then at their death they gift their offspring and/or favorite charities with, what has become, an ever-increasing pile of potential resource; That’s potential energy, not kinetic energy. Who got the benefit of this resource from the time it was earned until the time it was given; Citibank, Merrill Lynch, Credit Agricole? Life Business™ work challenges its participants to think about themselves and their money in a different way.
The Life Business™ “Rule of 4” requires that each of us, starting at age 60, take an annual distribution of 4% of our financial assets, whether or not we think we need these funds to live on. The challenge is to figure out what it is we can best do with these resources now, today, to increase our satisfaction and the life satisfaction of those closest to us. If it’s a good idea to give away money or something that money could buy, at the time of our death, why is it a less good idea to do it now when we may get the chance to see the actual benefit of our gifts. Lives and capabilities expanded today return individual, family and community benefits today rather than at some future time.
Example
Bob is 62 years old. His Life Business™ work has helped him understand that he hasn’t really retired but is now working on achieving other goals, not all of which are tied to earning a living: time with his wife doing things they now are taking the time to do, assisting his children during employment crises, building up his skills and confidence in his hobbies, actively supporting young people in gaining the skills and opportunities that have enriched his life.
Bob’s Gameboard shows him that he needs about $55000. per year to both “invest” in these Life Businesses and meet his irreducible overhead “expenses”. Between Social Security payments of about $12000, income from real estate rentals of about $24000, and his wife’s contribution of $13000. towards ½ of their shared overhead expenses, Bob is short about $6000, (55000 -12000 -24000 -13000 = 6000). Bob’s taxable and tax-deferred financial assets come to about $350000. Instead of taking $6000. out of these accounts to make up his annual short fall, Bob operates the “Rule of 4” and annually distributes to himself $14000. i.e. 4% of his financial assets (350000 x 4%). Thus the “Rule of 4” challenges Bob to find $8000. of additional life satisfying projects to invest in annually. Ah, the life of the venture capitalist!